We track the global green coffee benchmark and deliver expert price analysis to your inbox every Monday — before you make any procurement or pricing decisions.
ICE Arabica "C" Futures — Weekly Close
What's driving it
Drier outlook for Minas Gerais tightened near-term supply. Weaker USD amplified the move. Spec funds extended longs for a third straight week.
The ICE Arabica "C" futures contract is the global price benchmark for green coffee. It swings on weather in Brazil and Colombia, speculative fund positioning, currency shifts, and supply disruptions — often 20–40% in a single year.
Roasters and café owners are directly exposed to this volatility through their green coffee procurement costs. But most don't have time to watch commodity data, and can't afford a Bloomberg terminal.
The Coffee Market monitors the futures market automatically and delivers a concise, expert-level analysis every Monday — what moved, why it moved, and what to consider doing about it.
01 — DATA
ICE Arabica "C" contract prices are fetched each week — the same data used by commodity desks and major green coffee buyers worldwide.
02 — ANALYSIS
An AI model analyses the price action against supply, weather, currency, and macro context — and writes the analysis in plain English for coffee buyers.
03 — DELIVERY
The newsletter arrives before the week starts, so you have the full market picture before any purchasing, pricing, or supplier conversations.
Know when to lock in forward contracts and when to wait. One well-timed procurement call pays for years of subscriptions.
Understand upstream cost pressure before it hits your supplier invoices. Negotiate from knowledge, not guesswork.
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ICE Arabica closing price, week-on-week movement, and where it sits in the recent range — the key number, no noise.
The actual cause: weather in origin countries, USD movement, fund positioning, shipping factors, or supply shifts.
Translated into operational terms — whether to act on procurement now or hold, and what the signal suggests near-term.
One or two specific things to watch: USDA reports, weather forecasts, or macro factors that could move the market next week.
This is exactly what lands in your inbox every Monday morning.
☕ Arabica Futures: ▲ 312.4¢/lb — +3.2% on the week · Highest close since February
ICE Arabica closed at 312.4¢/lb, up 10 cents on the week — a 3.2% move and the highest weekly close since early February. The 300¢ resistance that held through most of the quarter has now broken to the upside.
A drier-than-expected outlook for Minas Gerais through mid-month tightened near-term supply at origin. A softer USD added a commodity tailwind. Speculative funds extended long positions for a third straight week per CFTC Commitments of Traders data — suggesting the move has momentum beyond fundamentals alone.
If you've been waiting for a pullback to the 290s before locking in green coffee contracts, that window looks closed. Roasters with forward procurement flexibility should consider locking in at current levels rather than waiting for a correction that may not arrive before the next harvest data. Café owners with supplier contracts up for renewal in Q2 should expect to negotiate at elevated cost levels.
Watch the USDA crop estimate due Thursday — a downward revision to Brazil or Vietnam could push arabica toward 320¢. A figure in line with consensus would likely consolidate the market in the 305–315¢ range through next week.
The ICE "C" Arabica coffee futures contract — the global benchmark for green coffee prices, traded on the Intercontinental Exchange in New York. The same contract major roasters and commodity traders use for hedging and procurement planning.
No. The Coffee Market provides market intelligence and operational context for coffee business decisions — not financial or investment advice. We explain what the price is doing and why; how you act on it is your call.
We pull live ICE futures data each week, then use an AI model to interpret the price movement against current market dynamics — supply, weather, currency, macro factors — into plain-English analysis for coffee buyers.
Every Monday morning before the week starts, so you have the market picture before any decisions.
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